RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

HTHT

H World GroupC
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Bull: faster domestic and inbound travel recovery, stronger ADRs and successful loyalty monetization drive RevPAR and margin upside; an earnings beat could lift consensus toward the analyst high (~$62.00).
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.
What can break
Intensified price competition compressing ADR/RevPAR
Momentum
72
Value
52
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $48.04 · Bull $62.00 · Bear $36.90Analysis 2026-02-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $61.28
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d +2.0
Value52 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -1.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Intensified price competition compressing ADR/RevPAR
  • • RMB/CNY and ADR translation volatility
  • • Bear: slower discretionary recovery, intensified price competition or regulatory headwinds compress RevPAR and margins; guidance cuts or margin misses could push the stock toward the analyst low (~$36.90).

Catalyst clock

2026-03-25

FY2025 results (2026-03-25)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
72
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
+15.8
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-1.5
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-23.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 72.2 / Value 51.9 / Sentiment 55.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$48.04
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$36.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$14.11B
Beta
0.15
Shares Out
307.15M
P/E (TTM)
27.1
P/S (TTM)
4.11
P/FCF (TTM)
35.24
Rev YoY
+17.8%
EPS YoY
+2.6%
Gross Margin
+40.9%
Op Margin
+27.3%
Net Debt
$2.95B
Current Ratio
1.21
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data