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HTHT

H World GroupA
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull: faster domestic and inbound travel recovery, stronger ADRs and successful loyalty monetization drive RevPAR and margin upside; an earnings beat could lift consensus toward the analyst high (~$62.00).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.3.
What can break
Intensified price competition compressing ADR/RevPAR
Momentum
81
Value
55
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $48.04 · Bull $62.00 · Bear $36.90Analysis 2026-02-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $60.93
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d +1.9
Value55 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +14.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +14.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Intensified price competition compressing ADR/RevPAR
  • • RMB/CNY and ADR translation volatility
  • • Bear: slower discretionary recovery, intensified price competition or regulatory headwinds compress RevPAR and margins; guidance cuts or margin misses could push the stock toward the analyst low (~$36.90).

Catalyst clock

2026-03-25

FY2025 results (2026-03-25)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
81
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+47.4
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.6
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.3
Δ21d
+7.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 80.7 / Value 54.9 / Sentiment 73.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$48.04
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$36.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$12.59B
Beta
0.15
Shares Out
307.15M
P/E (TTM)
27.1
P/S (TTM)
4.11
P/FCF (TTM)
35.24
Rev YoY
+17.8%
EPS YoY
+2.6%
Gross Margin
+40.9%
Op Margin
+27.3%
Net Debt
$2.95B
Current Ratio
1.21
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data