HTHT

H World GroupD

Nasdaq / Consumer Services

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Bull: faster domestic and inbound travel recovery, stronger ADRs and successful loyalty monetization drive RevPAR and margin upside; an earnings beat could lift consensus toward the analyst high (~$62.00).

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

What can break

Intensified price competition compressing ADR/RevPAR

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $48.04 · Bull $62.00 · Bear $36.90

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $61.39

Why

Momentum15 · Δ7d -0.8

Value53 · Δ7d +0.1

Sentiment60 · Δ7d -5.7

So what

Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

-0.8

Δ21d

-2.5

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

-8.3

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-5.7

Δ21d

-0.2

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 15.5 / Value 52.9 / Sentiment 59.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$12.31B

Beta

0.15

Shares Out

307.15M

P/E (TTM)

27.1

P/S (TTM)

4.11

P/FCF (TTM)

35.24

Rev YoY

+16.8%

EPS YoY

-5.1%

Gross Margin

+40.4%

Op Margin

+23.5%

Net Debt

$2.95B

Current Ratio

0.93

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology