HRL

Hormel FoodsB

NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3

B+

Bull case

25%

Probability

Target price

$28.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Most likely

Base case

50%

Probability

Target price

$24.50

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

B-

Bear case

25%

Probability

Target price

$19.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-09-01

AI commentary

News tone is negative-to-mixed: the reported adjusted EPS beat and raised adjusted outlook were outweighed by the revenue miss, lower sales outlook, and reported post-print selloff. The packet's August 31 anchor price was $21.85, while Barron's reported a stock drop tied to the sales-guidance cut and MarketWatch reported underperformance versus competitors. Analyst target revisions are now concrete but mixed, while broader estimate changes remain unavailable. Social context is absent, so this remains a cautious monitoring view rather than a strong directional thesis.

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-01

Open post-earnings memo

Evidence flagged

memo remains a monitoring view with limited forward evidence and should not be standard-conviction; later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence

Impact

tentative

Confidence

AI events

2026-08-27eventQ3 adjusted earnings beat but sales outlook reset [#SEC-8K-2026-08-27]Medium impact

Hormel reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.37 versus a reported $0.35 consensus, while revenue was $2.96 billion versus a reported $3.04 billion consensus. Adjusted FY2026 EPS guidance was raised to $1.45-$1.51, but sales guidance was reduced to $12.1-$12.2 billion and organic growth narrowed to 1%-2%.

2026-09-30catalystRetail and international volume pressure remains [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-27]Medium impact

Retail volume fell 9% and International volume fell 11% in Q3, with weaker commodity turkey, private-label snack nuts, consumer pressure, and logistics costs offsetting brand and Foodservice gains.

2027-01-31catalystFoodservice and value-added mix can support FY2027 [#SEC-8K-2026-08-27]High impact

Foodservice delivered its 12th consecutive quarter of organic sales growth, with segment profit up 3%. Premium prepared proteins, branded pepperoni, Jennie-O, contract manufacturing, and priority brands provide a credible longer-term mix-improvement path after portfolio divestitures.

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-09-01 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology