B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
HRL
Hormel FoodsCNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Raised adjusted EPS guidance, strong cash generation, Foodservice momentum, and growth in several priority brands support stabilization. Cash flow from operations rose 54% year over year and cash on hand was $840 million at quarter end [#SEC-8K-2026-08-27].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
News driver: Over 2 Thousand Pounds Of Sausage Recalled.
What can break
Further consumer weakness or commodity-price volatility could pressure sales and margins [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-27].
Momentum
27
Value
52
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $24.50 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $19.00Analysis 2026-09-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $25.25
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d +1.1
Value52 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -4.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • News driver: Over 2 Thousand Pounds Of Sausage Recalled.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Further consumer weakness or commodity-price volatility could pressure sales and margins [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-27].
- • Lower GAAP EPS guidance reflects Brazil divestiture losses, an Indonesia impairment, and litigation costs; reliance on adjusted results may limit investor confidence [#SEC-8K-2026-08-27].
- • The Q3 print showed a revenue miss despite an adjusted EPS beat, and post-print coverage described a sharp share-price decline following the lower sales outlook.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-27
Q3 adjusted earnings beat but sales outlook reset [#SEC-8K-2026-08-27]
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
27
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+9.2
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.2
Δ21d
-14.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 27.0 / Value 51.7 / Sentiment 57.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-01. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$24.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$11.59B
Beta
0.33
Shares Out
550.35M
P/E (TTM)
26.4
P/S (TTM)
1.04
P/FCF (TTM)
32.37
Rev YoY
+2.5%
EPS YoY
-12.5%
Gross Margin
+15.5%
Op Margin
+7.7%
Net Debt
$2.32B
Current Ratio
1.94
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data