HRI

HercA

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-06-02

Current thesis

Primary-source evidence improved with Q1: equipment rental revenue rose 32.7% year over year to $981 million, adjusted EBITDA rose 32.5% to $448 million, free cash flow was $94 million, and management affirmed full-year 2026 guidance [#8-K-2026-04-28]. If H&E integration benefits convert into the guided synergy run-rate and local markets stay merely stable, the stock can rerate from a depressed starting point.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.4.

What can break

Dollar utilization fell 120 bps year over year to 36.4% in Q1 2026, so the seasonal recovery needs to appear quickly.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $145.00 · Bull $170.00 · Bear $112.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-02

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-02

Supporting evidence

What

Grade A · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $179.00

Why

Momentum77 · Δ7d -10.4

Value53 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment59 · Δ7d +2.9

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-10.4

Δ21d

-7.0

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

+0.3

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+2.9

Δ21d

+13.3

Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 76.7 / Value 53.4 / Sentiment 59.2

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-01

Market Cap

$4.33B

Beta

1.78

Shares Out

33.27M

P/E (TTM)

160.7

P/S (TTM)

1.27

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-14.55

Rev YoY

+35.1%

EPS YoY

-79.0%

Gross Margin

+58.3%

Op Margin

+12.8%

Net Debt

$4.11B

Current Ratio

1.22

As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology