B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$175.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
HRI
HercBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The official Q2 release supports a constructive operating inflection: strong rental growth, improved utilization, EBITDA growth, completed H&E integration, and higher full-year guidance tied to mega-project demand and synergies [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.3.
What can break
Fuel, transportation, acquired-operations, and greenfield costs could keep margins under pressure.
Momentum
36
Value
55
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $150.00 · Bull $175.00 · Bear $115.00Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $197.30
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d -37.6
Value55 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment69 · Δ7d -5.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Fuel, transportation, acquired-operations, and greenfield costs could keep margins under pressure.
- • H&E leverage and interest expense may constrain earnings and free cash flow.
- • H&E-related debt, higher interest expense, elevated direct operating costs, fuel and transportation inflation, depreciation, and execution risk could limit cash conversion and keep margins below expectations [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
Catalyst clock
2026-07-28
Q2 beat and raised FY2026 guidance reset expectations
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
36
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-37.6
Δ21d
-50.3
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.5
Sentiment
69
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.3
Δ21d
+4.9
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 35.5 / Value 54.7 / Sentiment 69.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$115.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.79B
Beta
1.78
Shares Out
33.43M
P/E (TTM)
160.7
P/S (TTM)
1.27
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-26.11
Rev YoY
+20.2%
EPS YoY
-148.6%
Gross Margin
+25.9%
Op Margin
+13.1%
Net Debt
$9.63B
Current Ratio
1.10
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data