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HRI

HercC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 rental revenue rose 23% and adjusted EBITDA rose 19%; management raised 2026 rental-revenue guidance to $4.375 billion–$4.475 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $2.05 billion–$2.125 billion [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]. Sustained utilization and H&E synergies could support recovery from the $124.46 anchor.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27 · BMO.
What can break
Fuel and transportation inflation and acquired-operation costs could continue to pressure margins [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
Momentum
23
Value
54
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $140.00 · Bull $165.00 · Bear $95.00Analysis 2026-10-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-27 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $184.64
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d +7.0
Value54 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +1.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fuel and transportation inflation and acquired-operation costs could continue to pressure margins [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
  • • High net debt and increased fleet capex raise cash-flow and execution sensitivity [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
  • • Fuel and transportation costs, elevated operating expenses, and $7.9 billion of June 30 net debt leave limited room for execution disappointment [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].

Catalyst clock

2026-10-27 · BMO

Third-quarter results on October 27

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.0
Δ21d
+12.9
Value
54
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
-11.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 22.6 / Value 54.5 / Sentiment 61.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.28B
Beta
1.78
Shares Out
33.43M
P/E (TTM)
160.7
P/S (TTM)
1.27
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-19.32
Rev YoY
+20.2%
EPS YoY
-148.6%
Gross Margin
+25.9%
Op Margin
+13.1%
Net Debt
$9.63B
Current Ratio
1.10
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data