HP

Helmerich PayneD

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

HP outperforms if North American onshore dayrates and utilization recover materially and the company executes fleet modernization with margin expansion. Stronger-than-expected contract wins and continued cost control would drive above-consensus cash flow and justify upside to the bull target.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

What can break

Commodity-price-driven capex cuts among customers

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $33.00 · Bull $45.00 · Bear $22.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $41.00

Why

Momentum21 · Δ7d +1.1

Value61 · Δ7d 0.0

Sentiment51 · Δ7d -5.8

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+1.1

Δ21d

-5.7

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

0.0

Δ21d

+0.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-5.8

Δ21d

-2.7

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 21.1 / Value 61.2 / Sentiment 50.7

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$3.37B

Beta

0.56

Shares Out

99.93M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

42.9

P/S (TTM)

0.82

P/FCF (TTM)

193.70

Rev YoY

-8.2%

EPS YoY

-4793.7%

Gross Margin

+10.5%

Op Margin

+0.1%

Net Debt

$1.96B

Current Ratio

1.71

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology