HP

Helmerich PayneD

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

HP outperforms if North American onshore dayrates and utilization recover materially and the company executes fleet modernization with margin expansion. Stronger-than-expected contract wins and continued cost control would drive above-consensus cash flow and justify upside to the bull target.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

What can break

Commodity-price-driven capex cuts among customers

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $33.00 · Bull $45.00 · Bear $22.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $41.00

Why

Momentum20 · Δ7d -6.1

Value61 · Δ7d +0.1

Sentiment51 · Δ7d -5.2

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.1

Δ21d

-35.2

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

+0.7

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-5.2

Δ21d

-2.0

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 20.2 / Value 61.4 / Sentiment 51.0

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$3.37B

Beta

0.56

Shares Out

99.93M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

42.9

P/S (TTM)

0.82

P/FCF (TTM)

193.70

Rev YoY

-8.2%

EPS YoY

-4793.7%

Gross Margin

+10.5%

Op Margin

+0.1%

Net Debt

$1.96B

Current Ratio

1.71

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology