HOV
Hovnanian EnterprisesANYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
At close
2026-07-22
Current thesis
HOV exited the quarter with $442.0 million of liquidity, 14.3% adjusted gross margin above guidance, and adjusted EBITDA above guidance. Management also said it expects a step-up in Q4 if current conditions hold, so the bull case is that newer communities and a land-light mix drive a stronger second-half earnings bridge [#8-K-2026-05-21].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Consolidated cancellation rate rose to 17% and backlog dollars declined year over year, so order durability is not yet proven.
Momentum
84
Value
70
Sentiment
34
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $118.00 · Bull $134.00 · Bear $92.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-22
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-22
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $120.00
Why
Momentum84 · Δ7d +3.3
Value70 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment34 · Δ7d -0.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
84
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.3
Δ21d
+2.1
Value
70
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
34
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
+6.8
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 84.4 / Value 70.2 / Sentiment 34.5
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-22
Market Cap
$746.06M
Beta
2.31
Shares Out
5.86M
P/E (TTM)
13.3
P/S (TTM)
0.20
P/FCF (TTM)
3.79
Rev YoY
-2.6%
EPS YoY
-118.9%
Gross Margin
+13.6%
Op Margin
+4.4%
Net Debt
$638.66M
Current Ratio
2.83
As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology