B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
HOOD
Robinhood MarketsCNasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$118.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-03
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+27.0
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+27.0
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+63.0
Score
AI commentary
News tone is mixed to negative despite the earnings beat because July 30 target cuts, crypto weakness, and cost scrutiny offset strong deposits and product-growth headlines. TheStreet reported a July 30 close of $86.60 and a 23% year-to-date decline, but the packet does not isolate a clean one-day post-release price reaction. Analyst revision evidence is available; social, options, short-interest, and employee data are unavailable, so zero values in those fields should be treated as unavailable rather than neutral. This remains a constructive monitoring thesis, not an aggressive bullish signal.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-03
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
high-coverage report lacks a dated company-specific catalyst beyond generic cadence; peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators; later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-29eventQ2 earnings beat with record deposits and Gold growthHigh impact
Robinhood reported record Q2 revenue of $1.31 billion, diluted EPS of $0.62, $21.7 billion of net deposits, 4.8 million Gold subscribers, and 13 business lines above $100 million in annualized revenue. Stored earnings context reported revenue and EPS above consensus estimates. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-31]
2026-07-30catalystPost-print target revisions and market reaction temper upsideHigh impact
TheStreet reported Goldman Sachs reduced its target from $137 to $118 and Barclays from $122 to $105 on July 30 while retaining positive ratings. It also reported a July 30 close of $86.60 and a 23% year-to-date decline. The company reported crypto revenue down 38% year over year, operating expenses up 33%, and $0.14 of EPS benefit from RVI deconsolidation. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-31] [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
2027-08-03catalystProduct diversification expands monetization potentialHigh impact
Management highlighted record active-trader volumes, nearly 100,000 Agentic Trading accounts, Robinhood Legend above $100 million in annualized revenue, Rothera prediction-market activity, and a Credit Card business above $100 million in annualized revenue. Sustained adoption could reduce reliance on crypto, but incremental contribution remains unproven. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology