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HOOD

Robinhood MarketsC
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 demonstrated strong operating momentum: revenue, deposits, platform assets, Gold subscribers, trading activity, and customer accounts all grew, while new product lines broaden the monetization base. If these businesses scale without disproportionate cost growth, Robinhood can support a premium to mature brokerages.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
What can break
Crypto revenue and cryptocurrency valuations remain volatile, with Q2 crypto revenue down 38% year over year.
Momentum
93
Value
47
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $118.00 · Bull $140.00 · Bear $72.00Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $132.56
Why
Momentum93 · Δ7d +21.5
Value47 · Δ7d +0.6
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -9.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -9.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Crypto revenue and cryptocurrency valuations remain volatile, with Q2 crypto revenue down 38% year over year.
  • • Operating expenses rose 33% year over year amid marketing, growth investments, restructuring, and new-product costs.
  • • Crypto revenue declined sharply, operating expenses grew faster than revenue, and reported EPS benefited from an RVI-related gain.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-29

Q2 earnings beat with record deposits and Gold growth

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
93
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+21.5
Δ21d
+74.0
Value
47
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
61
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.6
Δ21d
-32.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 92.8 / Value 47.4 / Sentiment 60.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$118.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$86.54B
Beta
2.45
Shares Out
899.08M
P/E (TTM)
51.3
P/S (TTM)
26.36
P/FCF (TTM)
99.03
Rev YoY
+34.5%
EPS YoY
+44.9%
Gross Margin
+95.0%
Op Margin
+44.2%
Net Debt
$11.27B
Current Ratio
1.22
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data