HLMN
Hillman SolutionsBNasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
Primary-source evidence supports a cautious bull view centered on resilient repair/remodel demand, 6.0% Robotics and Digital Solutions growth, 15.1% Canada growth, raised sales guidance, and two tuck-in acquisitions that management expects to add revenue in 2026. The 12-month target summary in the packet implies upside versus the $7.88 anchor price, but coverage depth is thin.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Hardware and Protective Solutions margin deterioration was notable in Q1, with segment adjusted EBITDA down 16.6% and margin down 250 bps.
Momentum
47
Value
60
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.25 · Bull $11.50 · Bear $6.25
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.00
Why
Momentum47 · Δ7d -0.8
Value60 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -8.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
47
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
+7.9
Value
60
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
58
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.7
Δ21d
+3.9
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 46.8 / Value 60.1 / Sentiment 57.8
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$1.59B
Beta
1.64
Shares Out
196.21M
P/E (TTM)
49.3
P/S (TTM)
1.19
P/FCF (TTM)
44.53
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
+1406.3%
Gross Margin
+39.2%
Op Margin
+7.2%
Net Debt
$722.3M
Current Ratio
2.95
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

