HLLY

HolleyB

NYSE / Automobiles & Components

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Q1 margins held up despite softer revenue, Adjusted EBITDA was flat at $27.3M, and management kept the full-year Adjusted EBITDA outlook unchanged while early Q2 inventory trends improved; HRX and portfolio optimization could also improve mix, cash generation, and working capital [#PR-2026-05-06][#PR-2026-03-20].

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.

What can break

Free cash flow was still negative in Q1, and the balance sheet remains levered with roughly $530.8M of long-term debt net of current portion.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $2.90 · Bull $5.00 · Bear $1.50

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $4.54

Why

Momentum39 · Δ7d +23.3

Value63 · Δ7d -0.5

Sentiment59 · Δ7d +4.4

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+23.3

Δ21d

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.5

Δ21d

-0.1

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+4.4

Δ21d

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 39.2 / Value 63.4 / Sentiment 59.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$315.37M

Beta

1.33

Shares Out

120.37M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

16.3

P/S (TTM)

0.83

P/FCF (TTM)

32.79

Rev YoY

-3.7%

EPS YoY

+152.1%

Gross Margin

+41.0%

Op Margin

+5.6%

Net Debt

$519.95M

Current Ratio

3.17

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology