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HIVE

HIVE DigitalB
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
GPU cloud contracts convert into deployed, recurring revenue while HPC grows beyond its small current revenue share. The positive deterministic prior supports upside monitoring, not a confirmed transition [#SEC-8K-2026-08-17].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.6.
What can break
Bitcoin-linked mining accounted for $72.1 million of $79.1 million fiscal Q1 revenue, leaving results exposed to mining economics [#SEC-8K-2026-08-17].
Momentum
60
Value
49
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.12 · Bull $3.10 · Bear $1.10Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-29 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-29

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-29. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.00
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d -8.3
Value49 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +13.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Bitcoin-linked mining accounted for $72.1 million of $79.1 million fiscal Q1 revenue, leaving results exposed to mining economics [#SEC-8K-2026-08-17].
  • • GPU deployment delays or weaker utilization could prevent contracted ARR from becoming billed revenue [#SEC-8K-2026-08-17].
  • • Mining still dominates revenue, the GPU cloud target depends on successful deployment, and the quarter included a $142.9 million GAAP loss with an $84.7 million regulatory-liability provision [#SEC-8K-2026-08-17].

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Year-end GPU cloud deployment test

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
60
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-8.3
Δ21d
+35.6
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
64
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.6
Δ21d
-3.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 60.5 / Value 49.3 / Sentiment 64.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$3.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$2.12
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$1.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-29
Market Cap
$566.67M
Beta
4.20
Shares Out
274.28M
P/E (TTM)
24.2
P/S (TTM)
3.74
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-4.95
Rev YoY
+73.5%
EPS YoY
-395.5%
Gross Margin
-25.9%
Op Margin
-44.0%
Net Debt
$27.39M
Current Ratio
1.96
As of 2026-10-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data