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HELE

Helen of TroyA
Nasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 sales growth, improved adjusted operating margin, higher guidance and stronger cash generation support the positive structured prior if the gains persist beyond tariff refunds [#SEC-8K-2026-10-08]. Company release
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.4.
What can break
Approximately 3.0-times net leverage leaves execution risk if second-half free cash flow falls short of guidance. Company release
Momentum
88
Value
63
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $32.00 · Bull $39.00 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-10-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.67
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d +6.3
Value63 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +9.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Approximately 3.0-times net leverage leaves execution risk if second-half free cash flow falls short of guidance. Company release
  • • Beauty & Wellness Q2 sales declined 4.5%, offsetting part of Home & Outdoor growth [#SEC-8K-2026-10-08].
  • • Beauty & Wellness contracted, and tariff refunds contributed to Q2 earnings.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-08

Fiscal 2027 outlook raised after second-quarter results

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
88
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+6.3
Δ21d
+6.8
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.4
Δ21d
+4.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 88.4 / Value 63.0 / Sentiment 67.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$656.58M
Beta
0.81
Shares Out
23.39M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.7
P/S (TTM)
0.26
P/FCF (TTM)
9.51
Rev YoY
+8.1%
EPS YoY
-107.7%
Gross Margin
+45.6%
Op Margin
+6.1%
Net Debt
$819.25M
Current Ratio
1.78
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data