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HELE

Helen of TroyA
Nasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Revenue growth across both segments and raised sales guidance indicate improving demand and execution. The $31 median target implies modest upside from the $28.58 anchor price.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.9.
What can break
Adjusted EPS and adjusted operating margin declined year over year despite sales growth [#SEC-8K-2026-07-08].
Momentum
79
Value
64
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $31.00 · Bull $35.00 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-08-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.00
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d +4.6
Value64 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +4.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted EPS and adjusted operating margin declined year over year despite sales growth [#SEC-8K-2026-07-08].
  • • Low analyst coverage, unavailable revision data, and loose peers limit external validation of the thesis.
  • • Earnings quality remains mixed: gross margin fell to 46.0%, adjusted operating margin declined to 4.0%, adjusted EPS fell year over year, and operating cash flow weakened [#SEC-8K-2026-07-08].

Catalyst clock

2026-07-08

Q1 FY2027 growth and raised sales outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
79
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.6
Δ21d
+6.5
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-4.1
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.9
Δ21d
+7.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 79.5 / Value 63.7 / Sentiment 73.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$655.67M
Beta
0.81
Shares Out
23.29M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.7
P/S (TTM)
0.26
P/FCF (TTM)
9.51
Rev YoY
+8.1%
EPS YoY
-107.7%
Gross Margin
+45.6%
Op Margin
+6.1%
Net Debt
$819.25M
Current Ratio
1.78
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data