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HE

Hawaiian Electric IndustriesA
NYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Rate recovery and further ASB monetization could reduce the financing burden and allow core utility earnings to recover. The first wildfire-settlement installment has been paid, but the remaining payments still require funding.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -49.6.
What can break
Operating costs and interest expense may outpace rate recovery; management expects elevated 2026 adjusted O&M.
Momentum
8
Value
60
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.00 · Bull $10.50 · Bear $5.50Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.50
Why
Momentum8 · Δ7d +2.5
Value60 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment78 · Δ7d -49.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -49.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Operating costs and interest expense may outpace rate recovery; management expects elevated 2026 adjusted O&M.
  • • Remaining Maui wildfire-settlement payments may require additional financing or dilutive issuance.
  • • The Q2 GAAP profit overstated underlying improvement: core EPS declined, while interest, insurance, maintenance and storm costs remain elevated.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-18

Regulatory decision on the proposed rate rebasing

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
8
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.5
Δ21d
+2.2
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
78
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-49.6
Δ21d
-49.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 8.2 / Value 60.1 / Sentiment 78.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.45B
Beta
0.64
Shares Out
172.73M
P/E (TTM)
18.4
P/S (TTM)
0.79
P/FCF (TTM)
27.94
Rev YoY
+25.9%
EPS YoY
+370.7%
Gross Margin
+11.5%
Op Margin
+11.5%
Net Debt
$1.98B
Current Ratio
0.99
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data