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HE

Hawaiian Electric IndustriesC
NYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Approved wildfire-mitigation recovery, planned securitization, improved credit trajectory, and major generation procurement could gradually reduce financing pressure and support a re-rating. Core earnings quality remains the constraint.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
2026 O&M and interest expense may continue to pressure core earnings.
Momentum
14
Value
59
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $12.40 · Bull $14.50 · Bear $8.50Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $10.25
Why
Momentum14 · Δ7d -0.0
Value59 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +9.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bearish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • 2026 O&M and interest expense may continue to pressure core earnings.
  • • No post-print analyst revision or market-reaction evidence is available in the packet.
  • • Core earnings declined year over year, 2026 O&M is expected to materially outpace inflation, settlement accretion will continue, and remaining liability funding may still require capital-market actions or dilution.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-07

Q2 results were mixed, with headline earnings boosted by a non-cash settlement gain

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
14
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+2.7
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-8.1
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.0
Δ21d
+10.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 13.9 / Value 59.4 / Sentiment 64.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.04B
Beta
0.64
Shares Out
172.73M
P/E (TTM)
18.4
P/S (TTM)
0.79
P/FCF (TTM)
27.94
Rev YoY
+25.9%
EPS YoY
+370.7%
Gross Margin
+11.5%
Op Margin
+11.5%
Net Debt
$1.98B
Current Ratio
0.99
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data