HCI
HCI GroupDNYSE / Insurance
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
Sustained rate increases, favorable reserve development and execution on underwriting reduce the combined ratio materially; buybacks and earnings leverage drive upside to the bull target over a 12–18 month horizon.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Adverse reserve development from prior accident years
Momentum
40
Value
62
Sentiment
24
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $20.00 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $15.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $245.00
Why
Momentum40 · Δ7d -1.0
Value62 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment24 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
40
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
+11.9
Value
62
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
24
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 40.2 / Value 62.5 / Sentiment 23.5
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-01
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$1.93B
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
12.96M
P/E (TTM)
11.5
P/S (TTM)
2.88
P/FCF (TTM)
6.09
Rev YoY
+23.2%
EPS YoY
+845.0%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+37.1%
Net Debt
-$303.22M
Current Ratio
-
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

