B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
HASI
HA Sustainable Infrastructure CapitalBNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The raised EPS outlook, strong managed-asset growth, elevated deployment, improving debt spreads, and limited expected ATM issuance support a constructive medium-term setup. Management also targets adjusted ROE above 17% in 2028.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.7.
What can break
Execution risk if the planned $2-$3 billion of 2026 investments or co-investment activity does not materialize.
Momentum
52
Value
51
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $46.00 · Bull $52.00 · Bear $34.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $49.33
Why
Momentum52 · Δ7d +0.1
Value51 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +7.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Execution risk if the planned $2-$3 billion of 2026 investments or co-investment activity does not materialize.
- • Funding-cost and spread risk could reduce returns if debt markets worsen or asset yields compress.
- • The thesis depends on continued investment deployment, favorable funding spreads, and fee income from co-investment vehicles.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-06
August 6 Q2 print and guidance raise
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
52
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-8.8
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.7
Δ21d
+9.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 51.6 / Value 50.7 / Sentiment 75.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.41B
Beta
1.45
Shares Out
128.5M
P/E (TTM)
13.7
P/S (TTM)
10.30
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
90.91
Rev YoY
+41.0%
EPS YoY
+21.1%
Gross Margin
+100.0%
Op Margin
+69.4%
Net Debt
$4.93B
Current Ratio
8.65
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data