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HAL

HalliburtonC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that April 21 results marked a credible inflection: management explicitly called North America recovery early but real, international revenue still grew 3% despite Middle East disruption, and the YPF award adds a tangible multi-year growth/project pipeline with differentiated electric-frac and digital tools [#8-K-2026-04-21] [#PR-2026-04-21] [#PR-2026-04-13].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Capital returns help sentiment, but near-consensus valuation limits downside protection if execution slips.
Momentum
46
Value
55
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $38.00 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $31.00Analysis 2026-04-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $43.42
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d +15.2
Value55 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment66 · Δ7d +5.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Capital returns help sentiment, but near-consensus valuation limits downside protection if execution slips.
  • • Large contract wins such as YPF may ramp into results more slowly than investors expect.
  • • The bear case is that forward visibility is still only moderate: Q1 revenue was flat year over year, Completion and Production profit fell, Middle East conflict cost roughly 2 to 3 cents per share, and analyst median value sits near the current price, leaving limited room for disappointment if the North America recovery proves uneven [#PR-2026-04-21].

Catalyst clock

2026-05-15

Q1 2026 earnings reset shows better-than-feared resilience

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
46
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.2
Δ21d
+25.6
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-3.5
Sentiment
66
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
-6.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 46.4 / Value 55.5 / Sentiment 66.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$28.93B
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
833.13M
P/E (TTM)
21.1
P/S (TTM)
1.21
P/FCF (TTM)
20.83
Rev YoY
+3.7%
EPS YoY
+15.7%
Gross Margin
+15.1%
Op Margin
+13.1%
Net Debt
$6.11B
Current Ratio
2.02
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data