B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
HAFN
HafniaCNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q4/FY2025 showed solid earnings, a stated 80% payout ratio for Q4, 76% of Q1 earning days covered at USD 29,979/day as of February 11, 2026, and management still described 2026 as capable of robust earnings if rates stay supportive [#6K-2026-02-26][#6K-2026-02-26-EX99.3].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Clean-product tanker spot-rate volatility and geopolitical route normalization
Momentum
95
Value
51
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $7.90 · Bull $9.40 · Bear $6.50Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $10.92
Why
Momentum95 · Δ7d -1.6
Value51 · Δ7d -0.7
Sentiment41 · Δ7d -4.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Clean-product tanker spot-rate volatility and geopolitical route normalization
- • Execution and financing risk around the USD 405 million eight-vessel newbuild program
- • Forward visibility is still limited: deterministic signals are neutral with weak driver density, tanker rates can ease as deliveries enter the market, the newbuild order adds capex/financing scrutiny, and management explicitly said TORM-consolidation timing and outcome cannot be predicted [#6K-2026-02-26][#6K-2026-04-03].
Catalyst clock
2026-04-17
Annual Report 2025 is the next dated company checkpoint
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
95
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
-2.3
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-1.9
Sentiment
41
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.6
Δ21d
-7.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 95.1 / Value 51.1 / Sentiment 41.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$7.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$6.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$5.69B
Beta
0.56
Shares Out
535.27M
P/E (TTM)
8.5
P/S (TTM)
1.22
P/FCF (TTM)
13.80
Rev YoY
+22.5%
EPS YoY
+184.5%
Gross Margin
+19.9%
Op Margin
+16.3%
Net Debt
$930.4M
Current Ratio
1.60
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data