GVA

Granite ConstructionB

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-06-03

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment AI

B+

Bull case

20%

Probability

Target price

$154.35

+11.0% vs current

Most likely

Base case

60%

Probability

Target price

$130.71

-6.0% vs current

B-

Bear case

20%

Probability

Target price

$124.00

-10.8% vs current

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-02-14

AI commentary

Market and analyst tone is broadly neutral: consensus median sits near the current price, limiting near-term upside. Divergent views reflect execution and backlog-conversion uncertainty; near-term sentiment will hinge on earnings and contract news [#SERP-2][#SERP-3].

RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-14

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Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-05-15eventQuarterly earnings & call (est.)High impact

Quarterly results and guidance update; date not disclosed — estimated 90 days out. Expect re-rating risk driven by guidance, margin commentary, and backlog conversion signals [#SERP-2].

2026-05-15catalystState DOT / federal contract awards (near-term)Medium impact

New awards or change orders could materially alter backlog and near-term revenue; timing uncertain — conservatively estimated at 90 days [#SERP-6].

2027-02-14catalystBacklog conversion & margin expansion (12 months)High impact

Execution on multi-year, higher-margin projects could lift sustained revenue and margins; modeled as a 12-month outcome and tied to long-range analyst upside [#SERP-6].

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-02-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology