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Goodyear Tire RubberA
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Volume declines are moderating, OE share is improving, and Goodyear Forward plus footprint optimization could rebuild margins over 2027-2028. The $6.11 anchor price is below the packet's $7.46 median analyst target, implying potential upside, though the target count is unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.9.
What can break
Continued weakness in replacement-tire demand, especially in the Americas.
Momentum
15
Value
66
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.80 · Bull $8.75 · Bear $4.25Analysis 2026-08-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.80
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d +0.8
Value66 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment78 · Δ7d +9.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Continued weakness in replacement-tire demand, especially in the Americas.
  • • Execution risk could delay the projected 2027-2028 savings.
  • • Q2 showed a substantially larger adjusted loss, lower replacement volume, tariff and inflation pressure, and sharply weaker Americas profitability.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Mixed Q2 2026 earnings reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+5.8
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+12.4
Sentiment
78
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.9
Δ21d
+3.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 15.5 / Value 65.7 / Sentiment 78.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$8.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.74B
Beta
1.18
Shares Out
287.9M
P/E (TTM)
4.9
P/S (TTM)
0.14
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
9.52
Rev YoY
-4.8%
EPS YoY
-180.6%
Gross Margin
+18.3%
Op Margin
+2.8%
Net Debt
$6.35B
Current Ratio
1.09
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data