B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GSL
Global Ship LeaseBNYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The official Q2 release supports a constructive long-term case: strong charter coverage, $3.2 billion of contracted revenue, a $2.50 annualized dividend, and 15 newbuilds contracted on multiyear charters [#IR-GSL-Q2-2026] [#SEC-6K-2026-06-24].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.2.
What can break
A director's 3,000-share open-market sale was reported on July 14, 2026; this is an insider-activity signal only and is not evidence of operating deterioration [#SEC-FORM4-2026-07-31].
Momentum
83
Value
72
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $44.00 · Bull $55.00 · Bear $33.00Analysis 2026-08-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $51.75
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d -1.7
Value72 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +5.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A director's 3,000-share open-market sale was reported on July 14, 2026; this is an insider-activity signal only and is not evidence of operating deterioration [#SEC-FORM4-2026-07-31].
- • Analyst revisions, options data, social sentiment, and verified earnings-surprise data are unavailable, limiting conviction.
- • The post-earnings picture is mixed rather than decisively bullish.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-05
Q2 results show durable revenue but softer earnings
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
83
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
+20.6
Value
72
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.2
Δ21d
-2.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 83.4 / Value 72.4 / Sentiment 57.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.56B
Beta
0.91
Shares Out
35.92M
P/E (TTM)
3.1
P/S (TTM)
1.63
P/FCF (TTM)
15.84
Rev YoY
+3.6%
EPS YoY
-5.2%
Gross Margin
+52.2%
Op Margin
+48.5%
Net Debt
$165.65M
Current Ratio
2.13
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data