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GS

Goldman Sachs GroupB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 result materially strengthened the operating thesis: record-level trading activity, sharply higher investment-banking fees, a larger backlog, and reported upward post-print estimate and target revisions indicate strong capital-markets momentum. Continued deal activity and AI-related financing demand could extend earnings strength.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Keefe Bruyette maintained Market Perform despite raising its target, and the stock trades at a premium according to its cited analysis.
Momentum
43
Value
54
Sentiment
71
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $1,142.24 · Bull $1,250.00 · Bear $950.00Analysis 2026-07-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $1,170.71
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d +3.7
Value54 · Δ7d -9.0
Sentiment71 · Δ7d +2.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Keefe Bruyette maintained Market Perform despite raising its target, and the stock trades at a premium according to its cited analysis.
  • • M&A, IPO, underwriting, and backlog conversion remain sensitive to rates, volatility, geopolitics, and economic growth.
  • • The result was unusually strong and market-sensitive, making normalization in trading, IPO, M&A, or underwriting activity a meaningful risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-14

Q2 2026 earnings materially exceeded the pre-print setup

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
43
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.7
Δ21d
+5.2
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
71
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.4
Δ21d
+2.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 43.1 / Value 54.2 / Sentiment 70.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1,250.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1,142.24
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$950.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$306.11B
Beta
1.33
Shares Out
291.17M
P/E (TTM)
19.3
P/S (TTM)
2.24
P/FCF (TTM)
26.33
Rev YoY
+23.0%
EPS YoY
+92.3%
Gross Margin
+40.1%
Op Margin
+19.5%
Net Debt
$656.66B
Current Ratio
1.19
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data