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GS

Goldman Sachs GroupC
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q3 beat was substantial, with equity-financing strength, higher advisory and underwriting fees, and AWM growth supporting the positive deterministic prior. The firm's 18.7% quarterly annualized ROE and continued capital return offer a credible upside case if the revenue mix persists.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.9.
What can break
Platform Solutions revenue fell 72% year over year, reflecting Apple Card portfolio markdowns. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-13]
Momentum
33
Value
55
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $930.00 · Bull $1,040.00 · Bear $760.00Analysis 2026-10-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $1,062.80
Why
Momentum33 · Δ7d -1.5
Value55 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +0.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Platform Solutions revenue fell 72% year over year, reflecting Apple Card portfolio markdowns. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-13]
  • • Post-earnings target cuts and an erased earnings-day rally indicate that the beat has not settled the durability or valuation debate.
  • • The investment-banking backlog declined, FICC was flat year over year, and provision for credit losses rose to $368 million from $102 million in Q2.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-30

Q3 earnings beat faces a skeptical market

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
33
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
-7.8
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
-33.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 33.0 / Value 55.2 / Sentiment 58.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1,040.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$930.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$760.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$260.1B
Beta
1.33
Shares Out
291.17M
P/E (TTM)
19.3
P/S (TTM)
2.24
P/FCF (TTM)
26.33
Rev YoY
+23.0%
EPS YoY
+92.3%
Gross Margin
+40.1%
Op Margin
+19.5%
Net Debt
$656.66B
Current Ratio
1.19
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data