B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GRVY
GravityCNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q1 2026 showed strong reported growth, with revenue up 17.8% year over year and operating profit up 24.7%. Continued monetization of newer Ragnarok titles and additional regional launches could support results if launch momentum persists.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
New-title revenue may fade after launch periods, while commissions and other launch costs can pressure margins.
Momentum
50
Value
71
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $68.00 · Bull $80.00 · Bear $56.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum50 · Δ7d -
Value71 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • New-title revenue may fade after launch periods, while commissions and other launch costs can pressure margins.
- • No reliable analyst consensus, target revisions, estimate changes, or post-print earnings commentary is available.
- • The post-earnings evidence set is incomplete: Q2 results, guidance, consensus surprise, analyst revisions, and management commentary are unavailable.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-07
Q2 2026 results checkpoint
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
50
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
71
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
55
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 50.2 / Value 71.0 / Sentiment 54.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$56.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$479.47M
Beta
0.97
Shares Out
6.95M
P/E (TTM)
7.6
P/S (TTM)
1.03
P/FCF (TTM)
8.07
Rev YoY
-11.5%
EPS YoY
+71.5%
Gross Margin
+33.6%
Op Margin
+16.2%
Net Debt
-$423.67M
Current Ratio
7.20
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data