GRPN
GrouponBNasdaq / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-06-03
Current thesis
The bullish read is that Q1 offered enough underlying stabilization to support management's FY26 outlook: North America Local billings turned positive, International trends improved excluding Giftcloud, active customers grew 5%, and management is pairing that with buybacks and an AI-led operating reset under Project Foundry [#8-K-2026-05-07] [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-06-03.
What can break
Capital allocation remains a balancing act: Groupon repurchased $21.3M of stock in Q1 and another $10.1M through the report date while also carrying 2027 and 2030 convertible notes [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
Momentum
94
Value
49
Sentiment
37
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $14.00 · Bull $22.00 · Bear $10.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-03
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-02 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-03 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-03
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-03
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $34.67
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d -4.4
Value49 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment37 · Δ7d +8.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
94
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-4.4
Δ21d
+1.2
Value
49
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
37
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.1
Δ21d
-0.1
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 94.2 / Value 49.4 / Sentiment 37.2
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-02
Market Cap
$714.1M
Beta
-0.01
Shares Out
40.75M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-11.6
P/S (TTM)
1.38
P/FCF (TTM)
11.36
Rev YoY
+7.3%
EPS YoY
-1042.7%
Gross Margin
+90.9%
Op Margin
-16.5%
Net Debt
$17.17M
Current Ratio
0.93
As of 2026-06-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology