GRPN
GrouponCNasdaq / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
Current thesis
The bullish read is that Q1 offered enough underlying stabilization to support management's FY26 outlook: North America Local billings turned positive, International trends improved excluding Giftcloud, active customers grew 5%, and management is pairing that with buybacks and an AI-led operating reset under Project Foundry [#8-K-2026-05-07] [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.
What can break
Capital allocation remains a balancing act: Groupon repurchased $21.3M of stock in Q1 and another $10.1M through the report date while also carrying 2027 and 2030 convertible notes [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
Momentum
100
Value
44
Sentiment
18
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.00 · Bull $22.00 · Bear $10.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-20
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $26.33
Why
Momentum100 · Δ7d +2.1
Value44 · Δ7d -1.2
Sentiment18 · Δ7d -4.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
100
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
+16.7
Value
44
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.2
Δ21d
-1.4
Sentiment
18
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.7
Δ21d
-13.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 99.7 / Value 44.4 / Sentiment 17.6
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$1.06B
Beta
-0.01
Shares Out
37.98M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-13.4
P/S (TTM)
1.38
P/FCF (TTM)
11.36
Rev YoY
+0.0%
EPS YoY
-284.4%
Gross Margin
+89.1%
Op Margin
-16.5%
Net Debt
$23.99M
Current Ratio
0.80
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology