GPRK
GeoParkBNYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-07-23
Current thesis
The bull case is that 1Q2026 showed a real operating and balance-sheet reset: revenue rose to $128.4 million, adjusted EBITDA reached $71.3 million with a 56% margin, cash climbed to $274.9 million, and net leverage improved to 1.3x, giving GeoPark room to fund its Argentina buildout while protecting downside with hedges [#PR-2026-05-06].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Argentina ramp execution risk remains the central uncertainty as drilling, fracking, and infrastructure expansion still need to convert into sustained production growth.
Momentum
65
Value
57
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.75 · Bull $11.50 · Bear $7.25
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-23
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-23
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.73
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d +45.2
Value57 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment49 · Δ7d -5.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
65
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+45.2
Δ21d
+10.7
Value
57
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
49
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.0
Δ21d
-15.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 65.0 / Value 57.2 / Sentiment 48.7
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-23
Market Cap
$663.6M
Beta
0.45
Shares Out
64.68M
P/E (TTM)
10.9
P/S (TTM)
0.69
P/FCF (TTM)
18.44
Rev YoY
-6.5%
EPS YoY
+48.2%
Gross Margin
+44.2%
Op Margin
+25.6%
Net Debt
$479.22M
Current Ratio
1.00
As of 2026-07-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

