GPRE
Green PlainsDNasdaq / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that May 7, 2026 marked a real operating turn: utilization was high, crush margins improved sharply, carbon earnings showed up in reported results, and management raised its 2026 tax-credit-related EBITDA outlook.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.6.
What can break
45Z economics are now central to the thesis; weaker credit monetization, adverse policy change, or lower market value of transferable credits would pressure earnings.
Momentum
51
Value
33
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $17.00 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $13.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.50
Why
Momentum51 · Δ7d -14.5
Value33 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -1.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
51
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.5
Δ21d
-9.1
Value
33
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
59
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
+14.3
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 50.7 / Value 32.7 / Sentiment 58.5
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-01
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$1.13B
Beta
1.55
Shares Out
69.84M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-9.0
P/S (TTM)
0.31
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-23.10
Rev YoY
-22.8%
EPS YoY
-77.2%
Gross Margin
+4.7%
Op Margin
-4.5%
Net Debt
$402.37M
Current Ratio
1.68
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

