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GPRE

Green PlainsA
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
View Chart
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that May 7, 2026 marked a real operating turn: utilization was high, crush margins improved sharply, carbon earnings showed up in reported results, and management raised its 2026 tax-credit-related EBITDA outlook.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +44.3.
What can break
45Z economics are now central to the thesis; weaker credit monetization, adverse policy change, or lower market value of transferable credits would pressure earnings.
Momentum
94
Value
45
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $17.00 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $13.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $19.00
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d +44.3
Value45 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -0.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
94
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+44.3
Δ21d
+42.4
Value
45
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
52
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-14.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 94.2 / Value 45.3 / Sentiment 51.8

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$1.24B
Beta
1.55
Shares Out
70.03M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-9.8
P/S (TTM)
0.31
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
12.72
Rev YoY
-23.7%
EPS YoY
-134.4%
Gross Margin
+6.9%
Op Margin
-4.5%
Net Debt
$234.57M
Current Ratio
1.71
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology