B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$470.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GPI
Group 1 AutomotiveBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Group 1 posted a profitable quarter even with slightly softer revenue, and the balance of primary evidence still supports steady dealership cash generation. The dividend and shareholder-rights change add a modest capital-return/engagement tailwind.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
No analyst estimate revisions or fresh management guidance were present in the packet, so the current target gap may not convert into a near-term rerating without additional operating confirmation.
Momentum
23
Value
61
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $400.00 · Bull $470.00 · Bear $280.00Analysis 2026-05-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $365.55
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d +10.2
Value61 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • No analyst estimate revisions or fresh management guidance were present in the packet, so the current target gap may not convert into a near-term rerating without additional operating confirmation.
- • Reduced inventory availability for certain brands can keep same-store new-vehicle unit growth uneven and suppress gross profit per unit.
- • The key operating swing factor remains inventory availability, which the company itself linked to weaker same-store new- and used-vehicle unit performance and lower gross profit per unit.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-30
Q1 2026 filing showed resilient profit despite slightly softer sales
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.2
Δ21d
+15.5
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-4.2
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 23.1 / Value 61.1 / Sentiment 75.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-19. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$400.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$280.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.1B
Beta
0.90
Shares Out
11.92M
P/E (TTM)
13.9
P/S (TTM)
0.22
P/FCF (TTM)
10.71
Rev YoY
-5.6%
EPS YoY
-20.0%
Gross Margin
+15.4%
Op Margin
+4.2%
Net Debt
$5.84B
Current Ratio
1.02
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data