B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GPI
Group 1 AutomotiveCNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Expense savings, broader virtual F&I deployment and a successfully integrated Atlanta cluster could improve earnings from the weak Q2 base. The deterministic prior is positive, but the incremental returns remain unproven.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
What can break
A September 24 filing describes a credit agreement secured in part by mortgages on specified properties and related collateral; the excerpt alone does not establish the agreement's full leverage or covenant effect. [#8-K-2026-09-24]
Momentum
19
Value
61
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $255.00 · Bull $300.00 · Bear $180.00Analysis 2026-10-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $324.36
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d +2.9
Value61 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -1.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A September 24 filing describes a credit agreement secured in part by mortgages on specified properties and related collateral; the excerpt alone does not establish the agreement's full leverage or covenant effect. [#8-K-2026-09-24]
- • Consumer affordability pressure accompanied lower Q2 revenue, adjusted EPS, same-store revenue and new-vehicle unit sales. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
- • Q2 revenue and adjusted EPS declined year over year, with management citing affordability pressure.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-28 · BMO
Expense savings versus weaker dealership results
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
19
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.9
Δ21d
-10.8
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.2
Δ21d
-38.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 19.2 / Value 61.1 / Sentiment 54.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$255.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$2.91B
Beta
0.90
Shares Out
11.92M
P/E (TTM)
13.9
P/S (TTM)
0.22
P/FCF (TTM)
10.71
Rev YoY
-5.6%
EPS YoY
-20.0%
Gross Margin
+15.4%
Op Margin
+4.2%
Net Debt
$5.84B
Current Ratio
1.02
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data