B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GLPI
Gaming and Leisure PropertiesCNasdaq / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Second-quarter revenue rose 9.0% and AFFO rose 10.1% year over year; GLPI raised the midpoint of 2026 AFFO-per-share guidance to $4.10–$4.12. Development funding and the acquired Bally’s Lincoln rent stream could sustain growth.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Bally’s Chicago and other tenant-funded developments could be delayed or fail to produce expected rental returns. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31]
Momentum
40
Value
64
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $38.00 · Bull $47.00 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-10-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $51.04
Why
Momentum40 · Δ7d +5.3
Value64 · Δ7d -
Sentiment45 · Δ7d +0.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Bally’s Chicago and other tenant-funded developments could be delayed or fail to produce expected rental returns. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31]
- • Higher financing costs, additional leverage or equity issuance could dilute the benefit of development yields. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31]
- • The development-heavy thesis depends on tenants completing projects and maintaining rent coverage.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-29 · AMC
October 29 third-quarter results
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
40
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+5.3
Δ21d
+6.2
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
-52.6
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 40.4 / Value 63.8 / Sentiment 44.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
40%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
40%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$11.51B
Beta
0.69
Shares Out
290.92M
P/E (TTM)
16.2
P/S (TTM)
8.08
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-41.04
Rev YoY
+9.0%
EPS YoY
+46.5%
Gross Margin
+80.7%
Op Margin
+82.6%
Net Debt
$7.28B
Current Ratio
2.40
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data