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GHC

GrahamC
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 still showed consolidated revenue and operating-income growth, television broadcasting and manufacturing improved meaningfully, and the KLG divestiture plus ongoing buybacks could simplify the story and support value realization.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Education operating income fell 19% year over year in Q1 2026 despite revenue growth, implying margin pressure around the core Kaplan segment mix.
Momentum
90
Value
57
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1,025.00 · Bull $1,210.00 · Bear $900.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $990.00
Why
Momentum90 · Δ7d -
Value57 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Education operating income fell 19% year over year in Q1 2026 despite revenue growth, implying margin pressure around the core Kaplan segment mix.
  • • Fresh analyst target changes and estimate revisions were not readily available by the T+3 follow-up, limiting confidence in post-earnings readthrough.
  • • The bear case is that the earnings release still exposed pressure in education, healthcare, and automotive, included a KLG impairment, and coincided with a weaker-than-expected consensus framing and an initial gap-down reaction, while delayed analyst revision evidence remains thin.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-20

Post-earnings digestion remains constrained by a mixed segment print and sparse revision data

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
90
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
52
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 89.7 / Value 57.0 / Sentiment 51.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1,210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1,025.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$900.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.93B
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
4.23M
P/E (TTM)
6.7
P/S (TTM)
0.99
P/FCF (TTM)
14.75
Rev YoY
+7.1%
EPS YoY
+676.6%
Gross Margin
+27.9%
Op Margin
+5.8%
Net Debt
-$44.31M
Current Ratio
1.86
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data