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GGG

GracoA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record Q2 profitability, maintained growth guidance, improving orders, and the Valco Melton transaction support a constructive operating backdrop. A secondary report also referenced a Zacks upgrade tied to higher earnings estimates, but the revision series is not independently available in the packet.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.4.
What can break
Contractor, EMEA, or project-related demand could weaken.
Momentum
60
Value
58
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $84.00 · Bull $96.00 · Bear $70.00Analysis 2026-08-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $92.33
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d -4.8
Value58 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +6.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Contractor, EMEA, or project-related demand could weaken.
  • • Organic demand may not accelerate beyond low-single-digit levels.
  • • Organic growth remains modest, acquisition-related contribution may mask underlying demand, and tariff or product-cost pressure could compress margins.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-20

Q3 sales-guide execution and second-half demand validation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
60
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-4.8
Δ21d
+1.1
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.4
Δ21d
-3.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 60.1 / Value 57.7 / Sentiment 76.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$96.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$84.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$13.21B
Beta
1.08
Shares Out
161.95M
P/E (TTM)
28.5
P/S (TTM)
6.32
P/FCF (TTM)
31.18
Rev YoY
+3.3%
EPS YoY
+15.5%
Gross Margin
+52.6%
Op Margin
+27.4%
Net Debt
-$572.49M
Current Ratio
2.99
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data