GFR

Greenfire ResourcesC

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-08-07

Current thesis

The constructive case is balance-sheet repair plus asset depth: Greenfire ended 2025 with no note debt, an undrawn revolver, 1P/2P reserves of 231.8/408.9 MMbbl, and management outlined multiple new SAGD pads that could move the story from harvest mode back toward growth [#PR-2025-12-19] [#PR-2026-03-12].

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.1.

What can break

2026 production guidance was cut to 13,500-15,500 bbls/d from 15,500-16,500 bbls/d in March 2026 [#PR-2026-03-12].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $5.10 · Bull $7.40 · Bear $3.90

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-08-07

Fundamentals

As of 2026-08-07 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-08-07 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-08-07

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Why

Momentum80 · Δ7d -0.6

Value54 · Δ7d +0.4

Sentiment53 · Δ7d +8.1

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

10% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.6

Δ21d

+19.9

Value

40% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.4

Δ21d

+1.0

Sentiment

49% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+8.1

Δ21d

+8.8

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 80.2 / Value 54.4 / Sentiment 53.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-08-07

Market Cap

$771.38M

Beta

0.31

Shares Out

125.43M

P/E (TTM)

4.0

P/S (TTM)

1.23

P/FCF (TTM)

8.82

Rev YoY

-15.4%

EPS YoY

-395.5%

Gross Margin

+12.7%

Op Margin

+15.5%

Net Debt

-$26.17M

Current Ratio

0.66

As of 2026-08-07 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology