GFR

Greenfire ResourcesC

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-06-03

Current thesis

The constructive case is balance-sheet repair plus asset depth: Greenfire ended 2025 with no note debt, an undrawn revolver, 1P/2P reserves of 231.8/408.9 MMbbl, and management outlined multiple new SAGD pads that could move the story from harvest mode back toward growth [#PR-2025-12-19] [#PR-2026-03-12].

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.

What can break

2026 production guidance was cut to 13,500-15,500 bbls/d from 15,500-16,500 bbls/d in March 2026 [#PR-2026-03-12].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $5.10 · Bull $7.40 · Bear $3.90

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-03

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-02 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-03 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-03

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Why

Momentum42 · Δ7d -6.4

Value68 · Δ7d -0.3

Sentiment47 · Δ7d -5.0

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.4

Δ21d

+14.9

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.3

Δ21d

-0.1

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-5.0

Δ21d

-15.7

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 42.0 / Value 67.6 / Sentiment 47.3

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-02

Market Cap

$738.77M

Beta

0.31

Shares Out

125.4M

P/E (TTM)

4.0

P/S (TTM)

1.23

P/FCF (TTM)

8.82

Rev YoY

-26.1%

EPS YoY

-114.7%

Gross Margin

+78.3%

Op Margin

+15.5%

Net Debt

$197.74M

Current Ratio

2.27

As of 2026-06-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology