GFF

GriffonA

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The bull case is that Griffon can keep full-year guidance intact despite softer residential volume, while the AMES actions simplify the story and preserve cash generation for dividends and repurchases [#8-K-2026-05-07][#10-Q-2026-05-07].

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

What can break

If pricing and productivity stall, adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow could undershoot the full-year guide even if revenue stays near plan.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $92.00 · Bull $115.00 · Bear $70.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade A · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $118.43

Why

Momentum70 · Δ7d +5.9

Value65 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment47 · Δ7d -3.7

So what

Strength-led posture. Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+5.9

Δ21d

+1.3

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

+0.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-3.7

Δ21d

+3.1

Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 70.4 / Value 64.7 / Sentiment 46.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$4.2B

Beta

1.33

Shares Out

45.87M

P/E (TTM)

75.0

P/S (TTM)

1.37

P/FCF (TTM)

13.11

Rev YoY

-1.1%

EPS YoY

-24.1%

Gross Margin

+42.0%

Op Margin

+8.2%

Net Debt

$1.49B

Current Ratio

2.86

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology