RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

GEN

Gen DigitalD
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Primary sources support a credible operating base: Q3 revenue and bookings both grew 26% to 27%, FY26 guidance was raised, free cash flow stayed strong, and the 10-Q shows Trust-Based Solutions scaling materially with MoneyLion [#IR-2026-02-05] [#10-Q-2026-02-06]. The March 27, 2026 8-K also extended the $1.5 billion revolver to 2031 and refinanced tranche A debt, reducing near-term maturity pressure [#8-K-2026-03-27].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
AI-agent security launches may improve narrative and differentiation, but monetization timing is uncertain and could lag investor expectations.
Momentum
72
Value
66
Sentiment
26
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $21.00 · Bull $26.00 · Bear $16.00Analysis 2026-05-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $34.00
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d -13.1
Value66 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment26 · Δ7d +4.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI-agent security launches may improve narrative and differentiation, but monetization timing is uncertain and could lag investor expectations.
  • • Leverage is still meaningful even after the March 2026 refinancing; total debt was about $8.4 billion at January 2, 2026, so deleveraging execution still matters [#10-Q-2026-02-06] [#8-K-2026-03-27].
  • • Forward visibility is still only moderate for a high-coverage name because the packet had no recent trusted-news or analyst-revision set, and the peer set is a sector and market-cap screen rather than direct consumer-security comparables.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-07

May 7 FY26 Q4 and full-year print is the next hard checkpoint

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
72
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.1
Δ21d
-9.3
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
26
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.5
Δ21d
-6.5
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 72.4 / Value 66.1 / Sentiment 25.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$16.41B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
598.59M
P/E (TTM)
28.6
P/S (TTM)
3.60
P/FCF (TTM)
16.33
Rev YoY
+6.3%
EPS YoY
+64.8%
Gross Margin
+73.7%
Op Margin
+42.8%
Net Debt
$7.85B
Current Ratio
0.47
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data