GDEV

GDEVB

Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The best current bull read is that Q1 2026 showed an early stabilization pattern: revenue and bookings both rose 2%, ABPPU improved 8%, marketing spend fell 13%, and profit plus adjusted EBITDA improved year over year [#IR-2026-05-19]. If that reflects durable monetization and acquisition discipline, current valuation could be too low for a profitable live-service portfolio.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

What can break

Management's March 2026 release said 2025 demand was hurt by declining consumer spending and lower paying-user trends, indicating the business is still exposed to macro-sensitive game spending [#PR-2026-03-05].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $13.00 · Bull $18.00 · Bear $8.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-07-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $70.00

Why

Momentum56 · Δ7d -

Value58 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment56 · Δ7d -

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendTrend unavailable

Trend unavailable

Δ7d

Δ21d

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

+2.0

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendTrend unavailable

Trend unavailable

Δ7d

Δ21d

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 55.7 / Value 58.3 / Sentiment 56.3

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$213.45M

Beta

2.30

Shares Out

18.15M

P/E (TTM)

6.6

P/S (TTM)

0.65

P/FCF (TTM)

9.91

Rev YoY

+2.0%

EPS YoY

+19.2%

Gross Margin

+65.1%

Op Margin

+14.1%

Net Debt

-$107.23M

Current Ratio

0.67

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology