B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$125.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
FWONK
Liberty Media Formula One Series CCNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
F1 continues to grow global viewership and secures favorable multi-year media rights, driving high-margin recurring cash flows and multiple expansion as advertisers and platforms compete for content.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Adverse media-rights outcomes, declining sponsorship or event disruptions materially reduce revenue growth, leaving the stock below current levels if visibility weakens.
Momentum
56
Value
50
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $100.70 · Bull $125.90 · Bear $75.50Analysis 2025-11-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-11-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $119.93
Why
Momentum56 · Δ7d +4.4
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +3.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse media-rights outcomes, declining sponsorship or event disruptions materially reduce revenue growth, leaving the stock below current levels if visibility weakens.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Next quarterly earnings / Form 10-Q
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
56
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.4
Δ21d
-9.7
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-2.8
Sentiment
67
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
+9.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 56.1 / Value 49.8 / Sentiment 67.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-11-14. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$100.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$75.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$25.34B
Beta
0.84
Shares Out
250.71M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
45.5
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
33.12
Rev YoY
-30.4%
EPS YoY
-97.6%
Gross Margin
+24.9%
Op Margin
+12.4%
Net Debt
$4.07B
Current Ratio
1.27
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data