B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$125.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
FWONK
Liberty Media Formula One Series CBNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
F1 continues to grow global viewership and secures favorable multi-year media rights, driving high-margin recurring cash flows and multiple expansion as advertisers and platforms compete for content.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
Adverse media-rights outcomes, declining sponsorship or event disruptions materially reduce revenue growth, leaving the stock below current levels if visibility weakens.
Momentum
39
Value
50
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $100.70 · Bull $125.90 · Bear $75.50Analysis 2025-11-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-11-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $118.86
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d +0.9
Value50 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment67 · Δ7d -0.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse media-rights outcomes, declining sponsorship or event disruptions materially reduce revenue growth, leaving the stock below current levels if visibility weakens.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Next quarterly earnings / Form 10-Q
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
-11.9
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-8.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 39.1 / Value 49.9 / Sentiment 67.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-11-14. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$100.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$75.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$22.17B
Beta
0.84
Shares Out
250.71M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
39.8
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
28.97
Rev YoY
-30.4%
EPS YoY
-97.6%
Gross Margin
+24.9%
Op Margin
+12.4%
Net Debt
$4.07B
Current Ratio
1.27
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data