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FUL

H.B FullerA
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 adjusted EPS beat the cited consensus by $0.05, pricing offset volume declines, and adjusted EBITDA margin approached 20%. Continued savings and a successful AMS close could support a rerating [#PR-2026-09-23].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.7.
What can break
AMS closing, financing and integration could complicate deleveraging; the Q3 10-Q excerpt identifies related financing costs [#10-Q-2026-09-24].
Momentum
38
Value
61
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $56.00 · Bull $67.00 · Bear $39.00Analysis 2026-09-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $66.29
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d +7.0
Value61 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +1.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AMS closing, financing and integration could complicate deleveraging; the Q3 10-Q excerpt identifies related financing costs [#10-Q-2026-09-24].
  • • Post-earnings analyst target cuts show that stronger reported margins have not resolved forward-return concerns.
  • • Revenue missed the cited consensus, underlying volume declined, and the EBITDA guidance midpoint did not rise.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-28

FY2026 guidance depends on pricing and margin execution

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
38
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.0
Δ21d
+19.4
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
65
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
-9.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 38.3 / Value 61.2 / Sentiment 64.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$67.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$56.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.67B
Beta
1.10
Shares Out
53.83M
P/E (TTM)
28.7
P/S (TTM)
0.92
P/FCF (TTM)
45.07
Rev YoY
+5.8%
EPS YoY
+61.8%
Gross Margin
+32.4%
Op Margin
+11.3%
Net Debt
$1.98B
Current Ratio
1.80
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data