B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
FTK
Flotek IndustriesBNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$34.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-06
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+24.3
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.3
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-24.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+100.0
Score
AI commentary
The SEC-filed company source provides concrete earnings and guidance evidence, while the August 6 finance feed shows a strong 27.8% move versus the prior close. News tone is strongly positive, but no analyst target changes, estimate revisions, or rating actions were available by T+3; missing analyst reaction is not positive evidence. Social, options, short-interest, and employee-sentiment coverage are unavailable.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-06
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators; later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-12eventRaised 2026 guidance after strong Q2 resultsHigh impact
The SEC-filed earnings exhibit confirms Q2 revenue of $99.4 million, up 70% year over year, adjusted EBITDA of $16.8 million, up 109%, and higher 2026 revenue guidance of $340-$350 million versus $270-$290 million previously, with adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $47-$51 million from $36-$41 million. FTK was $36.07, up $7.85 or 27.8% versus the prior close in the August 6 finance feed. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
2026-08-12catalystPost-earnings profit-taking and valuation compressionHigh impact
The sharp post-print move raises reversal risk. The packet median analyst target is $29.58, but analyst count, consensus estimates, and post-print target revisions are unavailable, so the valuation cross-check is weak rather than confirmatory.
2026-12-31catalystData Analytics growth and backlog conversionHigh impact
Data Analytics generated record Q2 revenue of $19.2 million, up 223% year over year, and represented 51% of total gross profit. Earlier company guidance cited expected Q2-Q4 2026 Data Analytics backlog of $34.1 million and three-year expected backlog above $90 million, making conversion through year-end the key operating follow-through signal. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04] [#SEC-8K-2026-05-05]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-06 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology