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FTK

Flotek IndustriesB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose 70% year over year to $99.4 million, adjusted EBITDA rose 109% to $16.8 million, and Data Analytics became the largest gross-profit contributor. Execution on raised guidance and contract deployment could sustain upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.
What can break
Puerto Rico contract timing and economic contribution are not yet established and are excluded from 2026 guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
46
Value
42
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $32.00 · Bull $40.00 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $39.42
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d -32.1
Value42 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +0.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Puerto Rico contract timing and economic contribution are not yet established and are excluded from 2026 guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • Raised guidance increases execution risk if Q2 growth or Data Analytics margins do not persist. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • The Puerto Rico deployment schedule is unresolved, the new term loan carries a high spread, and sustaining Q2 growth and profit mix is unproven.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-31

Financing-cost scrutiny

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
46
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-32.1
Δ21d
-45.8
Value
42
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
75
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+25.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 45.6 / Value 42.1 / Sentiment 75.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$865.67M
Beta
1.44
Shares Out
36.22M
P/E (TTM)
21.9
P/S (TTM)
2.66
P/FCF (TTM)
190.82
Rev YoY
+70.3%
EPS YoY
+430.1%
Gross Margin
+23.8%
Op Margin
+13.1%
Net Debt
$44.32M
Current Ratio
1.78
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data