RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

FTI

TechnipFMCC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
The primary Q2 release supports a constructive operating thesis: Subsea revenue rose 12.6% sequentially, adjusted EBITDA rose 31%, margin expanded to 23.2%, and management cited strong execution, a record opportunity list, and expected 2027 order acceleration. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
7 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-11.
What can break
Offshore project delays, fixed-price contract execution, oil-and-gas demand, geopolitical disruption, currency, and cost-overrun risks remain material.
Momentum
62
Value
49
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
7 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $76.10 · Bull $84.00 · Bear $62.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $76.25
Why
Momentum62 · Δ7d -1.6
Value49 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +4.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 7 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-11.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Offshore project delays, fixed-price contract execution, oil-and-gas demand, geopolitical disruption, currency, and cost-overrun risks remain material.
  • • Several directors and an officer reported open-market sales in May; this is an activity signal only and is not evidence of operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-05-06]
  • • The quarter did not produce a formal full-year guidance increase, Surface Technologies weakened, and the post-release price action was volatile rather than a clean confirmation.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-15

Q2 execution was strong, but guidance was unchanged

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
62
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
-11.8
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.9
Δ21d
+3.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 61.6 / Value 49.1 / Sentiment 64.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$84.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$76.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$31.3B
Beta
0.71
Shares Out
392.16M
P/E (TTM)
21.7
P/S (TTM)
2.00
P/FCF (TTM)
13.40
Rev YoY
+7.0%
EPS YoY
+39.9%
Gross Margin
+22.7%
Op Margin
+14.7%
Net Debt
$302.6M
Current Ratio
1.08
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data