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FTH

Faeth TherapeuticsD
Nasdaq / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Positive PIK-201 data could validate Faeth's multi-node approach and support further development. The company reported $186.4 million of cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities at June 30, 2026, following its financing.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.7.
What can break
Higher clinical-development spending could shorten the effective runway if costs rise or trials expand. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
3
Value
41
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.00 · Bull $38.00 · Bear $7.00Analysis 2026-10-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $56.14
Why
Momentum3 · Δ7d -10.3
Value41 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +10.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Higher clinical-development spending could shorten the effective runway if costs rise or trials expand. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • PIK-101 is early-stage, with initial data not anticipated until 2027. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • An inconclusive or poorly tolerated PIK-201 result would undermine the lead program.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

PIK-201 Phase 2 endometrial-cancer topline data

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
3
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-10.3
Δ21d
-83.5
Value
41
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.7
Δ21d
-4.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 3.4 / Value 40.6 / Sentiment 58.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
40%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
40%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$441.35M
Beta
0.28
Shares Out
25.84M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.0
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.01
Rev YoY
-
EPS YoY
-27.5%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
-$19.68M
Current Ratio
19.69
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data