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FTAI

FTAI AviationB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 Aerospace Products revenue rose 78% year over year to $875.0 million and segment Adjusted EBITDA rose 51% to $249.7 million. The $1.465 billion FTAI Power contract, maintenance-capacity expansion, and $2.3 billion 2027 EBITDA framework provide unusually strong forward hooks for a high-coverage industrial name.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -20.0.
What can break
Analyst revisions, consensus breadth, options data, short interest, and post-earnings price-reaction attribution are unavailable.
Momentum
15
Value
43
Sentiment
82
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $215.00 · Bull $260.00 · Bear $150.00Analysis 2026-09-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $368.10
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d +3.8
Value43 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment82 · Δ7d -20.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -20.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revisions, consensus breadth, options data, short interest, and post-earnings price-reaction attribution are unavailable.
  • • Aviation Leasing guidance was reduced to $475 million from $575 million during the asset-light transition. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
  • • The Aviation Leasing guidance reduction from $575 million to $475 million highlights transition and execution risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-15

Series D preferred dividend payment

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
-2.7
Value
43
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
82
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-20.0
Δ21d
-20.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 14.5 / Value 43.0 / Sentiment 82.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$260.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$215.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$23.36B
Beta
1.52
Shares Out
102.71M
P/E (TTM)
51.6
P/S (TTM)
9.89
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-20.79
Rev YoY
+40.8%
EPS YoY
-27.9%
Gross Margin
+25.4%
Op Margin
+25.1%
Net Debt
$3.15B
Current Ratio
5.28
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data