FTAI

FTAI AviationC

Nasdaq / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

Bull: a sustained recovery in lease rates, higher utilization, and successful redeployment of aircraft drive NAV and earnings re-rating toward the analyst high (367.50). Material execution and market-strength improvements are required for this outcome.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.3.

What can break

Extended decline in lease rates or remarketing delays

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $295.68 · Bull $367.50 · Bear $185.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $382.30

Why

Momentum15 · Δ7d -25.0

Value43 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment84 · Δ7d +1.3

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-25.0

Δ21d

-51.8

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

+0.8

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+1.3

Δ21d

+29.3

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 14.6 / Value 43.3 / Sentiment 84.0

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$21.57B

Beta

1.52

Shares Out

102.58M

P/E (TTM)

51.6

P/S (TTM)

9.89

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-18.02

Rev YoY

+64.4%

EPS YoY

+47.6%

Gross Margin

+28.3%

Op Margin

+28.9%

Net Debt

$3.15B

Current Ratio

5.24

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology