FOXA

FoxD

Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment

At close

2026-07-22

Current thesis

The positive case is that FOX entered the Roku deal from a position of operating strength: fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted EPS was $1.32, revenue was $3.99 billion, and adjusted EBITDA rose 11% as sports-cost timing and digital momentum helped margins [#SEC-8K-2026-05-11]. If World Cup monetization is solid and Roku expands platform control, the stock can re-rate closer to strategic-media multiples rather than pure linear-TV multiples.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.

What can break

A larger strategic bet on streaming/platform assets may pressure capital allocation flexibility or raise leverage concerns even if FOX starts from a solid balance-sheet position.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $66.00 · Bull $75.00 · Bear $47.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-22

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-06-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-22

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $71.53

Why

Momentum12 · Δ7d +7.5

Value64 · Δ7d -0.3

Sentiment60 · Δ7d -6.3

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+7.5

Δ21d

+9.4

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.3

Δ21d

-0.5

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.3

Δ21d

-12.9

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 12.4 / Value 64.2 / Sentiment 59.9

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$22.86B

Beta

0.52

Shares Out

419.9M

P/E (TTM)

17.0

P/S (TTM)

1.93

P/FCF (TTM)

13.33

Rev YoY

-8.6%

EPS YoY

-48.8%

Gross Margin

+34.4%

Op Margin

+17.8%

Net Debt

$2.11B

Current Ratio

2.90

As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology