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FOXA

FoxA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record FY2026 revenue and EBITDA, strong World Cup monetization, accelerating Tubi growth, FOX One traction, healthy upfront demand, and moderating digital investment support a cautiously positive FY2027 setup [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q4].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Cable subscriber declines and competitive CTV inventory could pressure distribution and advertising economics.
Momentum
83
Value
62
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $72.00 · Bull $84.00 · Bear $53.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $76.56
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d -4.5
Value62 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +7.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cable subscriber declines and competitive CTV inventory could pressure distribution and advertising economics.
  • • Higher sports rights, production, and FOX One costs could dilute operating leverage.
  • • The World Cup benefit is cyclical, cable subscriber declines remained below 6.5%, sports rights and FOX One costs increased expenses, and the Roku transaction introduces material regulatory, financing, and integration risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

FY2026 earnings confirm strong operating momentum

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
83
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.5
Δ21d
+13.2
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.5
Δ21d
+9.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 83.3 / Value 61.7 / Sentiment 75.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$84.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$53.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$27.34B
Beta
0.52
Shares Out
419.65M
P/E (TTM)
17.0
P/S (TTM)
1.93
P/FCF (TTM)
13.33
Rev YoY
+28.1%
EPS YoY
+2.9%
Gross Margin
+34.2%
Op Margin
+20.4%
Net Debt
$3.36B
Current Ratio
3.17
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data