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FOXA

FoxA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Fiscal 2026 revenue reached $17.13 billion and adjusted EBITDA $3.91 billion. Digital advertising and FOX One could broaden growth; a cleared Roku acquisition could expand connected-TV distribution and advertising reach, but benefits are unproven [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Bridge financing remains conditional and should not be mistaken for funded debt; refinancing terms and post-deal leverage remain valuation risks [#REL-fc6d6f6d-6e9e-47a5-bc20-6e952ff2fe79] [#REL-cf874294-258c-4919-a961-aa2e77008904] (SEC proxy: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1754301/000119312526340535/d94663ds4.htm).
Momentum
70
Value
62
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $68.00 · Bull $82.00 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-10-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-02 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $81.13
Why
Momentum70 · Δ7d +3.5
Value62 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -1.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-02 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Bridge financing remains conditional and should not be mistaken for funded debt; refinancing terms and post-deal leverage remain valuation risks [#REL-fc6d6f6d-6e9e-47a5-bc20-6e952ff2fe79] [#REL-cf874294-258c-4919-a961-aa2e77008904] (SEC proxy: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1754301/000119312526340535/d94663ds4.htm).
  • • DOJ Second Request extends HSR review; clearance, remedies and closing timing are uncertain [#8-K-2026-09-09].
  • • The strong fiscal Q4 advertising comparison was World Cup-boosted, while sports and FOX One costs rose.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-02 · BMO

October 14 merger votes

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
70
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
+13.4
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-15.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 69.9 / Value 61.6 / Sentiment 62.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$25.97B
Beta
0.52
Shares Out
421.67M
P/E (TTM)
17.0
P/S (TTM)
1.93
P/FCF (TTM)
13.33
Rev YoY
+28.1%
EPS YoY
+2.9%
Gross Margin
+34.2%
Op Margin
+20.4%
Net Debt
$3.36B
Current Ratio
3.17
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data