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FOX

FoxB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The pre-deal operating backdrop was constructive: FOX's May 11 release showed fiscal Q3 revenue of $3.99 billion, adjusted EPS of $1.32, and adjusted EBITDA of $954 million, with distribution growth, Tubi momentum, and a major World Cup programming window still ahead. If FOX can use Roku to deepen ad-tech and distribution control without overstraining the balance sheet, the combined story could support a higher multiple.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Advertising revenue remains event-sensitive; fiscal Q3 ad revenue fell year over year largely because the prior-year quarter included the Super Bowl, highlighting tough comps and cyclical volatility. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-11]
Momentum
69
Value
62
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $57.00 · Bull $66.00 · Bear $42.00Analysis 2026-06-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $81.33
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d +11.5
Value62 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -5.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Advertising revenue remains event-sensitive; fiscal Q3 ad revenue fell year over year largely because the prior-year quarter included the Super Bowl, highlighting tough comps and cyclical volatility. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-11]
  • • Fox One launch costs and sports-rights spending could limit margin durability if digital scaling does not keep pace. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-11]
  • • The Roku transaction is large and shifts the story from a relatively clean live-sports/news cash-flow setup into a higher-risk M&A integration case.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-31

World Cup inventory is the clearest near-term operating tailwind

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
69
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.5
Δ21d
+5.1
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.7
Δ21d
-15.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 68.7 / Value 61.6 / Sentiment 50.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$57.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$26.53B
Beta
0.52
Shares Out
421.67M
P/E (TTM)
17.0
P/S (TTM)
1.93
P/FCF (TTM)
13.33
Rev YoY
+28.1%
EPS YoY
+2.9%
Gross Margin
+34.2%
Op Margin
+20.4%
Net Debt
$3.36B
Current Ratio
3.17
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data