FOSL
Fossil GroupCNasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that Q1 showed real operating stabilization: revenue held up better than feared, operating margin turned positive, inventories were down 14.3% year over year, and management kept its full-year guide and Q4 growth target intact [#8-K-2026-05-13]. Secondary coverage also framed the quarter as a revenue beat versus consensus, which supports the idea that expectations had been low.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.2.
What can break
Direct-to-consumer sales fell 29% in constant currency and comparable retail sales fell 15% in Q1, showing that consumer traction is still fragile [#8-K-2026-05-13].
Momentum
42
Value
50
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.75 · Bull $6.50 · Bear $3.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.00
Why
Momentum42 · Δ7d +2.7
Value50 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +4.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
42
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.7
Δ21d
-2.9
Value
50
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
64
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.2
Δ21d
+19.6
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 42.5 / Value 49.8 / Sentiment 63.5
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-01
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$244.09M
Beta
1.76
Shares Out
54.64M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.3
P/S (TTM)
0.19
P/FCF (TTM)
5.19
Rev YoY
-6.1%
EPS YoY
-26.4%
Gross Margin
+55.7%
Op Margin
-3.4%
Net Debt
$41.25M
Current Ratio
1.56
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology